Cheltenham Festival 2009 Tips – Day 3 Thursday

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After a great start to Cheltenham Festival 2009, with an opening day we’ll never forget on Tuesday, including more double figure winners than one day should normally have, and a Nap winner, we followed up with what we described as “the bet of Festival 2009″ when Master Minded won the Queen Mother Chase (not that it wasn’t expected!).

Thursday is all about 2 horses in 2009: Voy Per Ustedes and Kasbah Bliss – we expect those two to have mixed fortunes – see our Cheltenham Festival Thursday 2009 Tips below for full details.

Lets see if we can continue Systemlays’ success on Thursday, which sees the following Cheltenham Festival 2009 events – just click the event to jump straight to our ratings and tips for the race in question.

1.30 Jewson Novices’ Handicap Steeple Chase 2m 5f

A novices handicap chase is just the sort of race we can get right on a regular basis – largely due to the margins between the class horses and the also rans in these events often being wider. This is perhaps the best novice chase event of the year, so its full of class. That said, we can hopefully narrow your options with our accurate ratings.

Novices Handicap Chase Runners, Form & Ratings

No Name Weight Systemlays Rating Best Odds
8 AU COURANT(IRE) 11-1 215 25/1 Paddy Power
15 AURORAS ENCORE(IRE) 10-6 195.5 28/1 Bet365
7 KIA KAHA 11-1 195 9/1 Bet365
18 QUWS LAW(IRE) 10-6 192.5 50/1 VCBet
14 PANCAKE(FR) 10-9 190.5 28/1 Bet365
20 BOHEMIAN LASS(IRE) 10-5 190 50/1 VCBet
11 ASTARADOR(FR) 10-12 187.5 25/1 Sportingbet
16 JAAMID 10-7 187 33/1 VCBet
5 STRAW BEAR(USA) 11-2 184.5 33/1 Bet365
3 TRANQUIL SEA(IRE) 11-2 183
2 NORTHERN ALLIANCE(IRE) 11-4 182.5 15/2 Paddy Power
6 NAIAD DU MISSELOT(FR) 11-1 178 9/1 Bet365
1 RING THE BOSS(IRE) 11-10 176.5 20/1 Ladbrokes
19 BACK ON THE ROAD(IRE) 10-5 175.5 28/1 Bet365
13 CHAPOTURGEON(FR) 10-11 169 7/1 Paddy Power
17 ISN`T THAT LUCKY 10-7 164.5
12 THE VICAR(IRE) 10-11 164.5 18/1 Bet365
10 EXMOOR RANGER(IRE) 11-0 149 12/1 VCBet
9 SLASH AND BURN(IRE) 11-0 135.5 33/1 VCBet
4 CRESCENT ISLAND(IRE) 11-2 133 40/1 Ladbrokes

Novices Handicap Chase Tips & Ratings Review

As the bookies odds will tell you, this is a very open race (as one might expect from a handicap!), however, we have our top horse AU COURANT quite well in front. At 25-1 with Paddy Power (Wed evening) we suggest this as a solid each-way bet, which you should snap up early to take that price – everything we’re tipping is moving inwards price-wise this week, especially since the two bets of the day (this isn’t Thursday’s, mind you) romped home on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Be sure to consider other well-priced horses which we put at the head of this field, including Auroras Encore, Kia Kaha and Quws Law as solid chances to make up the first four home – for that is what most bookmakers will pay out on.

Never overlook the opportunity for a Tote Exacta or Trifecta either, and a Placepot or Jackpot can be fun for pocket change too.

2.05 Pertemps Final (Handicap Hurdle) 3m

Another handicap, this Pertemps Final over 3 miles sees us mark the card thus:

Pertemps Final Runners, Form & Ratings

No Name Weight Systemlays Rating Best Odds
16 THE VERY MAN(IRE) 10-8 220 33/1 Bet365
10 HEATHCLIFF(IRE) 10-6 217 40/1 Bet365
5 MIDDLETON DENE(IRE) 10-11 207 50/1 Bet 365
18 THE RALL(IRE) 10-7 193.5 28/1 Bet365
15 MAUCAILLOU(GER) 10-5 190.5 20/1 Ladbrokes
3 BALLYDUB(IRE) 11-2 189.5
13 MISTER GLOSS(IRE) 10-9 189 50/1 VC Bet
2 HILLS OF ARAN 11-10 189 33/1 Paddy Power
19 RINGAROSES 10-7 188.5 50/1 Ladbrokes
21 KAYF ARAMIS 10-5 187.5 33/1 Paddy Power
6 SYNCHRONISED(IRE) 10-8 180
20 BLUE SHARK(FR) 10-6 178 25/1 Bet365
9 PENNEK(FR) 10-11 177.5
1 P`TIT FUTE(FR) 11-9 177 12/1 Ladbrokes
14 SCRIPTWRITER(IRE) 10-8 175.5
11 GALIENT(IRE) 10-9 163 25/1 Sportingbet
24 GREEN MILE 10-4 161.5 10/1 VC Bet
8 FOREMAN(GER) 10-11 156.5 50/1 Ladbrokes
22 THE SLIOTAR(IRE) 10-0 154.5 33/1 Ladbrokes
4 DON`T PUSH IT(IRE) 11-5 150.5
23 INDIAN PIPE DREAM(IRE) 10-1 144 66/1 Ladbrokes
12 BUENA VISTA(IRE) 10-9 136.5 10/1 Ladbrokes
17 LUPANAR(IRE) 10-7 135.5 50/1 Ladbrokes
7 RASLAN 10-11 108 66/1 VC Bet

Pertemps Final Tips & Ratings Review

The top three horses in this race, according to how we rate their recent best performances, are the following three, in this order: The Very Man, Heathcliff and Middleton Dene – all of these three represent very good each-way bets, and should also be considered for combination Tote Exacta or Tote Trifecta bets for small stakes.

2.40 Ryanair Chase 2m 5f

A high-class level-weights chase over the testing Cheltenham 2m5f is next up.

Ryanair Chase Runners, Form & Ratings

No Name Weight Systemlays Rating Best Odds
8 SCHINDLERS HUNT(IRE) 11-10 210 25/1 VC Bet
6 MONET`S GARDEN(IRE) 11-10 193 20/1 VCBet
2 IMPERIAL COMMANDER(IRE) 11-10 193 13/2 Ladbrokes
5 MISTER MCGOLDRICK 11-10 187
9 TIDAL BAY(IRE) 11-10 181
7 OUR VIC(IRE) 11-10 179.5 8/1 VCBet
10 VOY POR USTEDES(FR) 11-10 176
3 KNIGHT LEGEND(IRE) 11-10 162.5
1 GWANAKO(FR) 11-10 162 16/1 VCBet
4 L`ANTARTIQUE(FR) 11-10 133.5 40/1 VCBet

Ryanair Chase Tips and Ratings Review

Despite many voices singing the praises of Voy Per Ustedes, one horse here stands out at level weights, based on his excellent win at Leopardstown back in January, SCHINDLERS HUNT looks to be the one they’ve all got to beat here. We think the two that will give this horse the most to do will be Monet’s Garden and Imperial Commander.

The margin we give Schindlers Hunt is impressive, though, so this must be considered worthy of a solid each-way bet: we tip it to make the frame.

The fortune of the favourite look less certain – we’ve not seen Voy Per Ustedes produce quite as much on the clock as several of these. If these horses run true to form, we’d expect Voy Per Ustedes to find one or two too good: we’re laying this favourite on Betfair.

3.20 Ladbrokes World Hurdle 3m

This year’s world hurdle has seen much buzz about the likely favourite Kasbah Bliss, who has been the talk of the town since narrowly falling one short last year. Lets see where Systemlays ratings put this year’s field:

Ladbrokes World Hurdle Runners & Ratings

No Name Weight Systemlays Rating Best Odds
5 KASBAH BLISS(FR) 11-10 207
6 MIGHTY MAN(FR) 11-10 187 40/1 VCBet
13 TAZBAR(IRE) 11-10 183 33/1 VCBet
12 SHAKERVILZ(FR) 11-10 175 80/1 VCBet
10 POWERSTATION(IRE) 11-10 173 33/1 Bet365
1 AFSOUN(FR) 11-10 170 100/1 Skybet
14 WHATUTHINK(IRE) 11-10 164.5 100/1 VCBet
4 FAIR ALONG(GER) 11-10 161.5 14/1 VCBet
11 PUNCHESTOWNS(FR) 11-10 158.5 7/2 VCBet
7 MOBAASHER(USA) 11-10 150.5 33/1 Ladbrokes
8 NO REFUGE(IRE) 11-10 146.5 150/1 VCBet
3 BLAZING BAILEY 11-10 144 28/1 VCBet
9 PETTIFOUR(IRE) 11-10 131.5 66/1 VCBet
2 BIG BUCK`S(FR) 11-10 116 13/2 VCBet

World Hurdle Tips & Ratings Review

As far as we can tell, this looks to be another victory for the Doumain team, as KASBAH BLISS has all the hallmarks of the winner of Thursday’s World Hurdle. He was narrowly beaten by Inglis Drever in this last year – none of 2009′s opponents are at that level according to our ratings – and Kasbah Bliss has produced a lot on the flat since then.

This horses return to hurdles at Haydock saw him produce a staggering time, which none of tomorrow’s field have ever matched. Any repeat of that performance sees Kasbah Bliss win the World Hurdle, as simple as that. We’re tipping this as a solid win bet.

4.00 Festival Plate Handicap Steeple Chase 2m 5f

Another 2m5f chase, this time its a 20+ runner handicap which wil see some horses return at excellent prices, providing, of course, we can find them beforehand.

Festival Plate Runners, Ratings & Form

No Name Weight Systemlays Rating Best Odds
21 LE BURF(FR) 10-4 217 33/1 VCBet
12 SOMETHING WELLS(FR) 10-7 208 33/1 Ladbrokes
5 PERCE ROCK 11-3 199 10/1 Sportingbet
15 OR BLEU(FR) 10-11 192.5 20/1 Sportingbet
4 FINGER ONTHE PULSE(IRE) 11-9 192 10/1 Sportingbet
8 OSAKO D`AIRY(FR) 11-1 188 20/1 VCBet
9 POP(FR) 11-1 186 33/1 Skybet
16 OCEANOS DES OBEAUX(FR) 10-10 183.5 22/1 VCBet
14 TURKISH SURPRISE(FR) 10-11 182.5 33/1 Ladbrokes
7 THREE MIRRORS 11-1 178.5 9/1 Skybet
10 SILVERBURN(IRE) 10-11 177.5 40/1 VCBet
24 BORORA 9-9 177
17 BIBLE LORD(IRE) 10-9 176 33/1 Ladbrokes
11 AKILAK(IRE) 10-13 170.5 22/1 VCBet
18 NOTABLE D`ESTRUVAL(FR) 10-7 169.5
20 BOOMSHAKALAKA(IRE) 10-3 168 40/1 VCBet
2 PABLO DU CHARMIL(FR) 11-12 167 33/1 VCBet
3 OSLOT(FR) 11-11 163 25/1 Paddy Power
23 PING PONG SIVOLA(FR) 10-0 155.5
6 BUCK THE LEGEND(IRE) 11-1 153 25/1 Ladbrokes
1 STAN(NZ) 11-12 152 33/1 Skybet
19 FIER NORMAND(FR) 10-7 138 33/1 Ladbrokes
13 CLARIFIED(IRE) 10-11 138 7/1 Ladbrokes
22 COSSACK DANCER(IRE) 10-0 126.5 66/1 VCBet

Festival Plate Tips & Ratings Review

The top two according to our ratings – Le Burf and Something Wells – look well treated by the handicapper, and can look to capitalise on that – we also like Perce Rock who, while carrying a little more weight, has put down performances which suggest he’s also good enough to win this event given a clear path and solid jumping performance. We suggest an each-way dutch on the three and perhaps a small forecast or tricast if you like that sort of thing.

4.40 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase 3m 1 1/2f

Another handicap chase completes the third day of Cheltenham Festival 2009, this one is slightly the tough side of half a mile further too, though, as always, Systemlays will try to beat the handicapper in this event.

Challenge Cup Runners, Ratings & Form

No Name Weight Systemlays Rating Best Odds
10 DOUBLE DIZZY 10-12 227 22/1 VCBet
4 ICE TEA(IRE) 11-6 188 33/1 VCBet
20 BROOKLYN BREEZE(IRE) 11-1 186.5 40/1 Ladbrokes
8 OODACHEE 11-5 182.5 25/1 Skybet
18 LE DUC(FR) 10-13 179.5 25/1 Skybet
16 WITHOUT A DOUBT 11-3 177.5
9 GO FOR ONE(IRE) 11-5 169
13 BOWLEAZE(IRE) 10-10 168 25/1 Skybet
5 SHERWOODS FOLLY 11-8 167.5 28/1 VCBet
23 PRETTY STAR(GER) 10-13 166 28/1 VCBet
15 SHOULDHAVEHADTHAT(IRE) 11-0 156
14 LE TOSCAN(FR) 10-10 156 28/1 VCBet
11 POKER DE SIVOLA(FR) 11-3 154.5 13/2 Skybet
22 ALEXANDERTHEGREAT(IRE) 11-0 150.5
6 BUTLER`S CABIN(FR) 11-8 147.5 28/1 VCBet
3 HIGH CHIMES(IRE) 11-9 143.5 16/1 VCBet
1 ARTEEA(IRE) 11-9 136 33/1 Ladbrokes
7 ALRIGHT NOW M`LAD(IRE) 11-7 130.5 33/1 VCBet
21 WARPATH(IRE) 11-0 125.5 50/1 VCBet
24 AGGIE`S LAD(IRE) 10-13 124 10/1 VCBet
2 CHARACTER BUILDING(IRE) 11-12 117 18/1 VCBet
19 NEWBAY PROP(IRE) 11-1 114 14/1 Paddy Power
17 IRISH RAPTOR(IRE) 10-9 109 25/1 VCBet
12 OPENIDE 10-10 108.5 33/1 VCBet

Challenge Cup Tips & Ratings Review

Those of you prepared to wait until the end of this third day for our bet of the day may well be rewarded. Due to the margin of difference we put between DOUBLE DIZZY and the remainder of this Challenge Cup field, we suggest an each-way bet on Double Dizzy to be our bet of the day.

Double Dizzy is currently available at a best-priced 22-1 from Paddy Power – click here to check with Paddy Power the current price, and bet now.

This rating does take into account the claims taken off due to the riders, though we’re always cautious in amateur events, hence the stress on the each-way nature of any bets you might have here.

Of the rest of the field, expect good runs from Ice Tea and Brooklyn Breeze.

Here’s to a great penultimate day whatever you decide to back or lay at Cheltenham Festival Thursday 2009!

About the Author

Hi, I'm the System Tipster. Not an actual real individual per se, I am actually a highly developed computer program designed to handicap and rate every racehorse in Britain and Ireland by the owners of Systemlays UK. I crunch numbers all day long to produce highly consistent horse racing backing tips and laying tips which can be viewed for free every day of the week (except most Sundays). Subscribe to my RSS feed for free and never miss a tip!

One Response to “ Cheltenham Festival 2009 Tips – Day 3 Thursday ”

  1. Crystal ball wasn’t far wrong with that ryanair chase!

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