So the day has finally arrived, in a matter of hours the John Smith’s 2011 Grand National will commence. The final numbers have been crunched, the form analysed, the systems processed and we are now excited to be able to bring you the Systemlays ratings for every horse in this year’s Grand National, along with our tips and best bet recommendations.
| No. | Name | Weight | Systemlays Rating |
| 3 | WHAT A FRIEND | ’11-6 | 197 |
| 13 | SILVER BY NATURE | ’10-12 | 194 |
| 23 | GRAND SLAM HERO(IRE) | ’10-7 | 192 |
| 37 | ARBOR SUPREME(IRE) | ’10-3 | 163 |
| 26 | IN COMPLIANCE(IRE) | ’10-5 | 162 |
| 8 | BIG FELLA THANKS | ’11-1 | 158 |
| 11 | THE MIDNIGHT CLUB(IRE) | ’10-13 | 154 |
| 36 | ORNAIS(FR) | ’10-4 | 153 |
| 4 | VIC VENTURI(IRE) | ’11-6 | 152 |
| 35 | CHARACTER BUILDING(IRE) | ’10-4 | 151 |
| 18 | OSCAR TIME(IRE) | ’10-9 | 150 |
| 19 | QUINZ(FR) | ’10-8 | 141 |
| 12 | NICHE MARKET(IRE) | ’10-13 | 139 |
| 28 | WEST END ROCKER(IRE) | ’10-5 | 137 |
| 32 | SURFACE TO AIR | ’10-4 | 137 |
| 39 | SKIPPERS BRIG(IRE) | ’10-2 | 136 |
| 20 | BECAUSEICOULDNTSEE(IRE) | ’10-8 | 135 |
| 40 | GOLDEN KITE(IRE) | ’10-2 | 130 |
| 17 | KILLYGLEN(IRE) | ’10-10 | 129 |
| 10 | BALLABRIGGS(IRE) | ’11-0 | 129 |
| 25 | KING FONTAINE(IRE) | ’10-6 | 126 |
| 2 | TIDAL BAY(IRE) | ’11-9 | 124 |
| 5 | MAJESTIC CONCORDE(IRE) | ’11-5 | 124 |
| 7 | DOONEYS GATE(IRE) | ’11-4 | 122 |
| 27 | HELLO BUD(IRE) | ’10-5 | 120 |
| 30 | BLUESEA CRACKER(IRE) | ’10-4 | 116 |
| 21 | COMPLY OR DIE(IRE) | ’10-8 | 116 |
| 1 | DON`T PUSH IT(IRE) | ’11-10 | 115 |
| 15 | CHIEF DAN GEORGE(IRE) | ’10-12 | 114 |
| 38 | ROYAL ROSA(FR) | ’10-3 | 104 |
| 9 | THE TOTHER ONE(IRE) | ’11-0 | 84 |
| 16 | CALGARY BAY(IRE) | ’10-10 | 82 |
| 29 | SANTA`S SON(IRE) | ’10-5 | 54 |
| 24 | STATE OF PLAY | ’10-6 | 52 |
| 22 | QUOLIBET(FR) | ’10-8 | 42 |
| 33 | PIRAYA(FR) | ’10-4 | 39 |
| 34 | CAN`T BUY TIME(IRE) | ’10-4 | 24 |
| 31 | THAT`S RHYTHM(FR) | ’10-4 | 24 |
| 14 | BACKSTAGE(FR) | ’10-12 | 16 |
| 6 | OR NOIR DE SOMOZA(FR) | ’11-5 | 9 |
Who to Back
The top 6 horses based on the Systemlays ratings:
1) What A Friend
2) Silver By Nature
3) Grand Slam Hero
4) Arbor Supreme
5) In Compliance
6) Big Fella Thanks
Some of you may also have seen our two part post earlier in the week on the Criteria of a Grand National Winner – part 1 here and part 2 here – We have crossed match the list and only one horse appears on both lists
BIG FELLA THANKS
And at 14/1 he is our main tip to win the 2011 Grand National but we will also be adding in WHAT A FRIEND (10/1) and SILVER BY NATURE (12/1) who would have made the criteria in all areas bar being a grey horse. Could this be the year to break the sequence?
For those of you who like to try and group some horses and go for the trifecta, exacta or first four (See our Bet options preview) we have compiled the two lists into our top 6 recommendations for the National.
1) BIG FELLA THANKS
2) WHAT A FRIEND
3) SILVER BY NATURE
4) GRAND SLAM HERO
5) THE MIDNIGHT CLUB
6) NICHE MARKET
Don’t forget to check out our free bets review to help you find the best deals being offered by the bookmakers online if you open a new account.
Who to Lay
For those of you who want to pick a horse to lay on Betfair (or another betting exchange) you may be interested in our laying selection, OR NOIR DE SOMOZA whom we rank as the least likely winner under tomorrow’s conditions, based on our ratings of the horse’s past performances. If you are looking for something with a lower price we think BACKSTAGE is the most exposed of the main fancies at 10/1
Don’t forget, you can grab some free bets and additional each-way places with the bookmakers listed in our Grand National 2010 Free Bets post.
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